Missed sepsis and alert burden
VerifiedContemporary practiceMissed 67% of sepsis while alerting on 18% of hospitalizations; AUROC .63
2018-12-06 to 2019-10-20 · 38,455 hospitalizations; 2,552 sepsis cases
One health system; v1 only, not later v2.
A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.
Collections: Regulated autonomy · Negative results

Executive brief
Local validation is a precondition, not a refinement.
AI value · Missed sepsis and alert burden
VerifiedMissed 67% of sepsis while alerting on 18% of hospitalizations; AUROC .63
One health system; v1 only, not later v2.
Before
Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice. → Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information.
After
Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold. → Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions.
Human boundary
Clinicians own treatment; hospitals choose thresholds.
Why it matters
A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.
Before
How the work ran before the change.
Hospital clinicians
Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice.
ControlTimely antibiotics are the study proxy for clinical recognition; no historical manual queue is reconstructed.
Clinical team
Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information.
ControlHuman diagnosis and treatment authority.
What changed
A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.
Decision rightHuman sets the threshold; AI decides each instance
After
How the same work runs now.
Epic Sepsis Model v1
Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold.
ControlHospital-selected threshold within the recommended range; model missed 67% and alerted on 18% of stays in the validation.
Clinician
Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions.
ControlOrdinary surveillance remains the failure path for missed cases; alert fatigue is an explicit control concern.
Exception path
Clinical judgment can override alerts; missed cases rely on ordinary surveillance.
Decision authority
Clinicians own treatment; hospitals choose thresholds.
| # | Actor | Action | Control |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Hospital clinicians | Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice. | Timely antibiotics are the study proxy for clinical recognition; no historical manual queue is reconstructed. |
| 02 | Clinical team | Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information. | Human diagnosis and treatment authority. |
| # | Actor | Action | Control |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Epic Sepsis Model v1 | Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold. | Hospital-selected threshold within the recommended range; model missed 67% and alerted on 18% of stays in the validation. |
| 02 | Clinician | Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions. | Ordinary surveillance remains the failure path for missed cases; alert fatigue is an explicit control concern. |
Work that left the path
Human role before
Hospital clinicians surveilled admitted patients through contemporary clinical practice and EHR review, then initiated diagnostic and treatment workflows when they recognized sepsis.
Human role after
Clinicians evaluate alerts and retain diagnosis and treatment authority.
AI role
Calculates a score every 15 minutes and generates threshold alerts.
Contemporary practiceMissed 67% of sepsis while alerting on 18% of hospitalizations; AUROC .63
2018-12-06 to 2019-10-20 · 38,455 hospitalizations; 2,552 sepsis cases
One health system; v1 only, not later v2.
Anti-pattern
Do not generalize v1 results to v2.
Questions
Portability conditions
Reputation risk
medium