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Michigan Medicine / Epic Sepsis Model v1

Verified evidenceThreshold is the controlContinuous decisioningCreator to judge

Real-time proprietary sepsis alerts

A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.

Clinical operations · Ann Arbor, Michigan

Collections: Regulated autonomy · Negative results

An editorial scene for Michigan Medicine / Epic Sepsis Model v1 contrasts monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice. with calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold. in the real-time proprietary sepsis alerts workflow.

Executive brief

The operating-model shift, in one view.

Local validation is a precondition, not a refinement.

AI value · Missed sepsis and alert burden

Verified

Missed 67% of sepsis while alerting on 18% of hospitalizations; AUROC .63

One health system; v1 only, not later v2.

Before

Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice. → Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information.

After

Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold. → Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions.

Human boundary

Clinicians own treatment; hospitals choose thresholds.

Why it matters

A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.

How the work changed

Before

How the work ran before the change.

  1. Step 1 of 2

    Hospital clinicians

    Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice.

    ControlTimely antibiotics are the study proxy for clinical recognition; no historical manual queue is reconstructed.

  2. Step 2 of 2

    Clinical team

    Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information.

    ControlHuman diagnosis and treatment authority.

What changed

A deployed alert can add workload while missing most cases.

Decision rightHuman sets the threshold; AI decides each instance

After

How the same work runs now.

  1. Step 1 of 2

    Epic Sepsis Model v1

    Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold.

    ControlHospital-selected threshold within the recommended range; model missed 67% and alerted on 18% of stays in the validation.

  2. Step 2 of 2

    Clinician

    Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions.

    ControlOrdinary surveillance remains the failure path for missed cases; alert fatigue is an explicit control concern.

Process model built from the published workflow evidence for Michigan Medicine / Epic Sepsis Model v1. Every step, actor, and control appears in full below.
Every step, actor, and control

Exception path

Clinical judgment can override alerts; missed cases rely on ordinary surveillance.

Work removed

  • No work removed; alert-review work added

Decision authority

Clinicians own treatment; hospitals choose thresholds.

Before

  1. 01

    Hospital clinicians

    Monitor admitted patients and recognize sepsis through contemporary clinical practice.

    Control: Timely antibiotics are the study proxy for clinical recognition; no historical manual queue is reconstructed.

  2. 02

    Clinical team

    Diagnoses and treats patients using ordinary EHR information.

    Control: Human diagnosis and treatment authority.

After

  1. 01

    Epic Sepsis Model v1

    Calculates a proprietary risk score every 15 minutes and generates alerts at the selected threshold.

    Control: Hospital-selected threshold within the recommended range; model missed 67% and alerted on 18% of stays in the validation.

  2. 02

    Clinician

    Reviews or disregards the alert and retains all treatment decisions.

    Control: Ordinary surveillance remains the failure path for missed cases; alert fatigue is an explicit control concern.

Work that left the path

  • No work removed; alert-review work added

Human role before

Hospital clinicians surveilled admitted patients through contemporary clinical practice and EHR review, then initiated diagnostic and treatment workflows when they recognized sepsis.

Human role after

Clinicians evaluate alerts and retain diagnosis and treatment authority.

AI roleCalculates a score every 15 minutes and generates threshold alerts.

Outcomes

Missed sepsis and alert burden

Verified

Contemporary practiceMissed 67% of sepsis while alerting on 18% of hospitalizations; AUROC .63

2018-12-06 to 2019-10-20 · 38,455 hospitalizations; 2,552 sepsis cases

One health system; v1 only, not later v2.

What leaders can reuse

Anti-pattern

Do not generalize v1 results to v2.

Questions

  1. 01Where is the operating threshold set and who can override it?
  2. 02What measured result would trigger rollback or retraining?
  3. 03Which residual decisions must remain human-owned?

Portability conditions

  • Local calibration
  • Version-specific testing
  • Alert monitoring

Reputation risk

medium

Evidence and authority

What the public record supports.

Current · updated

1 peer reviewed; publication outcomes are verified.

Bundle 1.0.0 · reviewed 2026-08-23 · stable ID 998bcea29b46d14e

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Sources

Read the evidence, freshness, caveat, and version policy.