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Capital flow drill-down

Money in, revenue out: the full breakdown.

Issue 14 · Week 30 of 2026.

The four-category capital scorecard expanded with named transactions, burn-to-revenue context, and per-category trends across recent issues. Each row corresponds to a row in the summary table on the issue page.

Capital flow scorecard

Capital in, revenue out, burn ratio, and movement.

Capital in, revenue out, and direction of travel for this issue.
CategoryCapital inRevenue outBurn to revenueMovement
Frontier LabsOpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, xAI~$95BPrior ~$95B · Flat~$21BPrior ~$21B · Flat~4.5xNo new primary financing closed in-window; OpenAI raised its reported infrastructure-spend plan to $750B through 2030 and put a $20B, 3.2 GW named campus behind it.
Hyperscaler-HostedAzure-OpenAI, AWS-Anthropic, Google Cloud-Gemini, Oracle-OCI~$230BPrior ~$210B · Up~$62BPrior ~$62B · Flat~3.7xOpenAI's $20B Camellia campus and the reported 25% increase in its through-2030 infrastructure plan hardened the committed-capex numerator without a matching new revenue disclosure.
NeocloudsCoreWeave, Nscale, Crusoe, Lambda, Fluidstack, IREN~$17BPrior ~$17B · Flat~$5BPrior ~$5B · Flat~3.4xNo new neocloud financing changed the aggregate; Helios created the more important forward option — a second rack-scale supply stack for operators currently dependent on NVIDIA allocation and financing.
On-Prem / HybridEnterprise GPU clusters, sovereign and national programs, Cisco / Dell / HPE~$101BPrior ~$101B · Flat~$36BPrior ~$36B · Flat~2.8xNo new aggregate commitment; Schneider Electric's 246 kW Helios reference design moved AMD deployment from a silicon roadmap toward a facility-design option for private and sovereign clusters.

Category

Frontier Labs.

OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, xAI

Capital in
~$95Bvs ~$95B · Flat
Revenue out
~$21Bvs ~$21B · Flat
Burn / rev
~4.5xLower means more capital out than in.

The read

The capital position did not change, but the obligation did. Camellia turns the abstract infrastructure plan into a utility-backed schedule with full infrastructure-cost recovery and up to 1 GW of curtailment; runway analysis that ignores contracted infrastructure commitments is increasingly incomplete.

This week's transactions

Named transactions and source context.
DateTransactionAmountSource
2026-07-22AMD and Anthropic announced up to $5B of AMD equity investment and deployment of up to 2 GW of MI450-series GPUs and Helios systemsUp to $5B / 2 GWAMD
2026-07-22Project Camellia in Effingham County, Georgia: $20B campus, 3.2 GW staged service from 2028-2032, customer-funded infrastructure, up to 1 GW peak curtailment$20BOpenAI; secondary reporting on aggregate plan

Trend across recent issues

W23W24W25W26W27W28W29W30
Capital in
$90B, $95B, $95B, $95B, $95B, $95B, $95B, $95B
Revenue out
$20B, $21B, $21B, $21B, $21B, $21B, $21B, $21B

Category

Hyperscaler-Hosted.

Azure-OpenAI, AWS-Anthropic, Google Cloud-Gemini, Oracle-OCI

Capital in
~$230Bvs ~$210B · Up
Revenue out
~$62Bvs ~$62B · Flat
Burn / rev
~3.7xLower means more capital out than in.

The read

The ratio moved the wrong way for near-term returns but the utility structure is more mature: OpenAI pays the infrastructure cost and offers dispatchable load. Expect large campuses to be financed and permitted as grid partnerships rather than ordinary commercial-load connections.

This week's transactions

Named transactions and source context.
DateTransactionAmountSource
2026-07-22OpenAI raised reported infrastructure spending through 2030 to $750B and announced the Camellia campus as a named execution site$750B plan / $20B siteOpenAI; TechCrunch and WSJ secondary reporting

Trend across recent issues

W23W24W25W26W27W28W29W30
Capital in
$181B, $185B, $187B, $187B, $187B, $187B, $210B, $230B
Revenue out
$60B, $62B, $62B, $62B, $62B, $62B, $62B, $62B

Category

Neoclouds.

CoreWeave, Nscale, Crusoe, Lambda, Fluidstack, IREN

Capital in
~$17Bvs ~$17B · Flat
Revenue out
~$5Bvs ~$5B · Flat
Burn / rev
~3.4xLower means more capital out than in.

The read

A credible AMD rack can reduce both supply concentration and equipment financing risk, but only after deliveries exist. Neoclouds should negotiate Helios options now while keeping revenue commitments tied to measured availability and customer demand, not vendor performance projections.

This week's transactions

Named transactions and source context.
DateTransactionAmountSource
2026-07-20Hut 8 Beacon Point Phase 2: 15-year, 352 MW agreement with $9.8B of base-term revenue$9.8B base term / 352 MWHut 8 SEC Form 8-K
2026-07-23AMD cited multi-gigawatt OpenAI and Anthropic commitments in Helios coverage; delivery timing and realized rack economics remain the evidence to watchMulti-GW commitments referencedAMD

Trend across recent issues

W23W24W25W26W27W28W29W30
Capital in
$12B, $12B, $12B, $12.7B, $13.5B, $13.5B, $17B, $17B
Revenue out
$5B, $5B, $5B, $5B, $5B, $5B, $5B, $5B

Category

On-Prem / Hybrid.

Enterprise GPU clusters, sovereign and national programs, Cisco / Dell / HPE

Capital in
~$101Bvs ~$101B · Flat
Revenue out
~$36Bvs ~$36B · Flat
Burn / rev
~2.8xLower means more capital out than in.

The read

The facility envelope is now part of accelerator procurement. Private-cluster buyers should compare complete rack power, cooling, fabric, support, and software maturity across Helios and Rubin; component-level benchmark wins are not enough to underwrite a 246 kW deployment.

This week's transactions

Named transactions and source context.
DateTransactionAmountSource
2026-07-24Schneider Electric published a 246 kW facility reference design for AMD HeliosNot disclosedSchneider Electric

Trend across recent issues

W23W24W25W26W27W28W29W30
Capital in
$91B, $93B, $94B, $94B, $94B, $94.5B, $101B, $101B
Revenue out
$35B, $36B, $36B, $36B, $36B, $36B, $36B, $36B

Methodology

Capital-in and revenue-out figures are quarterly or annualized as noted in the row, sourced from public earnings disclosures, SEC filings, and lab and vendor announcements. Burn-to-Revenue is revenue divided by committed capital. The trend chart shows up to eight prior issues. Data is updated weekly; revisions in future issues do not retroactively edit this one.

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