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AI Market · Forecast desk · hit · power

74% · hit

The PJM 2028/29 base residual auction clears within 5% of the ~$325/MW-day cap when results post on July 14, 2026.

Outcome

hitcalled at 74%resolved July 18, 2026brier contribution 0.068

The PJM 2028/29 base residual auction cleared exactly at the $325.00/MW-day cap RTO-wide, posted July 14 as predicted — squarely within the 5% band.

Evidence: https://www.pjm.com/-/media/DotCom/markets-ops/rpm/rpm-auction-info/2028-2029/2028-2029-bra-results-report.pdf