Skip to content
brianletort.aiD. Brian Letort, Ph.D.

AI Market · Forecast desk · miss · software

65% · miss

Anthropic discloses or third-party developer surveys document a greater than 20% drop in active Claude Code third-party agent users within 30 days of the June 15 pricing cutover.

Back to the bookIssue 2026-W20Evidence ↗

Outcome

misscalled at 65%resolved September 1, 2026brier contribution 0.423threshold-miss

Anthropic paused the planned June 15 Agent SDK credit split on the scheduled date, so the pricing cutover never took effect and no >20% Claude Code third-party user drop was disclosed or surveyed within 30 days of a change that did not happen.

Evidence: https://thenewstack.io/anthropic-pauses-claude-agent-sdk-subscription-change/